UK house prices predicted to rise

15 Jan 2013

By Andrew Batt:

House sales across the UK look set to increase as chartered surveyors’ expectations for the coming three months rose significantly.

Published today, the latest RICS housing market survey, the longest-running survey of its kind, said today that 24 percent more surveyors across the country predicted transactions to rise rather than fall over the next quarter.

This more positive outlook comes at a time when confidence has been growing that the market in some parts of the country may now be over the very worst.

In tandem with this, prices held steady during December. Notably, this is the first time since June 2010 that the national price balance has not been negative and – with prices forecast by RICS to rise by two percent during 2013 – it seems that the market in some areas of the country may have started to bottom out.

Furthermore, this stability looks set to persist with surveyors no longer taking a negative view of the price outlook between now and March. This is the first time that respondents have not predicted further drops over the following three months since the summer of 2010.

In terms of market activity, the number of homes coming up for sale remained relatively stable last month, while demand from would-be buyers saw a continued increase. During December, a net balance of 12 percent more surveyors reported an increase in new buyer enquiries. This reading has now been in positive territory for four months.

Across the country London once again bucked the overall trend and saw significant increases in prices, while the North East and Wales saw the biggest drops. Notably, prices in the West Midlands stabilised last month; this represents the first time in over two and a half years that prices have stopped falling.

Peter Bolton King, RICS Global Residential Director, said: "As we start the new year confidence to the housing market does appear to be improving, helped in part by the impact of the Funding for Leading Scheme. Indeed, our members are predicting that transaction levels will continue increasing in many parts of the country, and it may be that we are now over the very worst.”

Adding words of caution, he said: “ore still needs to be done to ensure potential buyers can access the market at every level. Alongside this, there is still a clear need for more homes to be built."

Andrew Batt, International Group Editor of PropertyGuru, wrote this story. To contact him about this or other stories email andrew@allproperty.com.sg

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